Kazakhstan Oil Production

Kazakhstan produced a record 99.4 million tonnes of oil and condensate in 2025, about 2 million barrels per day and 13% more than in 2024, as Chevron's Tengiz expansion came online. About 80% of its exports leave through the CPC pipeline across Russia to the Black Sea, and drone attacks on that route cut output by 8.3% in January–September 2026.

Updated 13 October 2026 · Sources: Kazakhstan Bureau of National Statistics, Ministry of Energy, Tengizchevroil, Caspian Pipeline Consortium, OPEC

Output 202599.4 Mt (≈ 2.0 mb/d)
Output Jan–Sep 202669.4 Mt (−8.3%)
CPC shipments 202570.5 Mt
OPEC+ target, July 20261.608 mb/d

Production: Bureau of National Statistics (January 2026) and Ministry of Energy data reported on 13 October 2026. CPC: consortium shipment data. Quota: OPEC+ decision of 7 June 2026, as reported by the Astana Times. Tonnes are converted at about 7.3 barrels per tonne; Kazakhstan's light crude yields slightly more.

Kazakhstan oil and condensate production
PeriodMillion tonnesApprox. mb/dNote
202487.71.76
202599.42.0Record, +13.3%
March 2025 (month)-2.17Monthly record, crude + condensate
January–September 202669.41.86−8.3% year on year
2026 government forecast96≈ 1.9Cut from a planned 100.5 Mt

Sources: Bureau of National Statistics; Reuters calculations for March 2025; Ministry of Energy for 2026. Field output January–September 2026: Tengiz 26.7 Mt, Kashagan 12.8 Mt, Karachaganak 7.5 Mt.

The big three fields

The Atyrau region, home to Tengiz and Kashagan, produced 62.5% of Kazakh oil in 2025. All three projects are led by Western majors under long-term contracts, which limits the government's ability to cut output when OPEC+ asks.

The CPC pipeline and CPC Blend

The Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) line runs about 1,510 km from Tengiz to a marine terminal near Novorossiysk on Russia's Black Sea coast. It can carry up to 72.5 million tonnes a year from Kazakhstan, and it shipped a record 70.5 million tonnes in 2025. Tengiz, Kashagan and Karachaganak all export through it. Smaller volumes go by rail and tanker, through the Baku–Tbilisi–Ceyhan pipeline, and by pipeline to China.

The mixed export stream is CPC Blend, a light crude loaded on tankers at three single-point moorings. Price reporting agencies assess it as a differential to Dated Brent, and it is one of the largest light crude streams in the Mediterranean. Because it crosses Russia, CPC Blend is not sanctioned, but it is exposed to the war between Russia and Ukraine:

For how the 2026 disruptions affected world prices, see what moves oil prices; for the Russian side, see the Russia oil production page.

Kazakhstan and OPEC+ quotas

Kazakhstan joined the OPEC+ Declaration of Cooperation in 2016 and has been its most persistent over-producer. When Tengiz expanded in 2025, output rose far above the target: in March 2025 Kazakhstan produced about 2.17 million b/d of crude and condensate against a quota of about 1.49 million b/d. The energy ministry said in May 2025 that it would not cut production, while promising to compensate for past over-production.

Under pressure from Saudi Arabia, Kazakhstan submitted compensation schedules that rose from about 131,000 b/d of extra cuts in December 2025 to 669,000 b/d by June 2026. In practice, the CPC outages and Tengiz fires did more to reduce Kazakh output in 2026 than the quota did. Kazakhstan's target rose to 1.608 million b/d from July 2026, and it was one of the seven countries that met on 6 September 2026 and held targets steady for October. Even after the 2026 drop, output of about 1.86 million b/d remained well above that target. Read our OPEC+ explainer for how quotas and compensation work.

For oil prices, Kazakhstan matters in two ways: its over-production strained OPEC+ cohesion during 2025, when the group began unwinding its cuts, and the CPC route is a supply risk alongside the Strait of Hormuz. Live prices for the benchmark it is priced against are on the Brent crude oil price page.

Kazakhstan oil FAQ

How much oil does Kazakhstan produce?

Kazakhstan produced a record 99.4 million tonnes of oil and condensate in 2025, about 2 million barrels per day. Output fell 8.3% in January–September 2026, to 69.4 million tonnes, because of attacks on the CPC export pipeline and fires at Tengiz. The government expects about 96 million tonnes in 2026.

What is the CPC pipeline?

The Caspian Pipeline Consortium pipeline carries oil about 1,510 km from western Kazakhstan to a terminal near Novorossiysk on Russia's Black Sea coast. It handles about 80% of Kazakhstan's oil exports and shipped a record 70.5 million tonnes in 2025.

Does Kazakhstan comply with its OPEC+ quota?

Not fully. Kazakhstan has exceeded its OPEC+ target in most months since 2024, reaching about 2.17 million b/d in March 2025 against a quota near 1.49 million b/d. It has promised compensation cuts, but output in 2026 stayed above its target of 1.608 million b/d.

Who operates the Tengiz oilfield?

Tengiz is operated by Tengizchevroil, owned by Chevron (50%), ExxonMobil (25%), state company KazMunayGas (20%) and LukArco (5%). Its Future Growth Project started on 24 January 2025 and adds about 260,000 barrels per day at full capacity.

How is CPC Blend priced?

CPC Blend, the light crude exported through the CPC terminal on the Black Sea, is priced as a differential to Dated Brent, assessed daily by price reporting agencies. The discount widens when attacks or weather disrupt loadings and narrows when Mediterranean demand for light crude is strong.

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